Saturday Newcatle/Caulfield
NEWCASTLE
🏇 RACE 1 ELIO — first starter, sounds like a pasta dish but might just serve up a win. JAIPUR MAISON — Waller first starter, so it’ll either bolt in or finish like it’s on strike. SEEIAYE — two sharp trials, soft draw, looks the ready-made racehorse of the bunch.
💰 Fat Jockey EW: Seeiaye — blinkers on, blinkers off, doesn’t matter — just be on.
🏇 RACE 2 STRAWBERRY IMPACT — three placings from four this prep, consistency you can bet on (until you do).
PERFECT JUSTICE — won at Hawkesbury, now in the big smoke; might lay down the law again. KINGSTON CHARM — from the Four Pillars to this easier lot — watch for the late swoop.
💰 Fat Jockey EW: Strawberry Impact — sweet each-way value, just don’t melt under pressure.
🏇 RACE 3 NEXT PAY RUN — wins when favourite, so check the tote before you get too brave. MOUNT BONA — third-up and ready to peak — could climb the ladder here. UPWARDLY MOBILE — name says it all, but might just be stuck in career traffic.
💰 Fat Jockey EW: No thanks — save your cash for the quaddie, this smells like a wipeout.
🏇 RACE 4 WAIMARE — strong run on Cup Day, back to mares grade and looks set to pounce. MISS HADES — trialled up, ready to raise a little hell first-up.MAID OF MOOLAH — name fits — could be making someone rich.
💰 Fat Jockey EW: Maid Of Moolah — she’s progressive and might just cash in.
🏇 RACE 5 MERIDIANA — airborne this prep, unlucky last start, ready to right the wrong. NAILS MURPHY — good run last start, but the manicure might chip in this heat.
💰 Fat Jockey On: Meridiana — looks the banker for your multis, deserves one.
🏇 RACE 6 GLAD YOU THINK SO — loves Newcastle, and so do I after two schooners. KIND WORDS — always around the mark, but needs a stronger finish. BELLE DETELLE — fitter, longer trip, and ready to explode like a sneaky value bomb.
💰 Fat Jockey EW: Belle Detelle — one more run and she’s peaking. Get in early.
🏇 RACE 7 VERITY — going for a hat trick and doesn’t look like stopping. GREEN SPACES — Wyong form, meh, but winning form nonetheless. GRAND PRAIRIE — forgive the last flop, setup suits better today.
💰 Fat Jockey EW: Grand Prairie — trust the bounce back.
🏇 RACE 8 ACCREDITED — nearly won fresh, second-up and ready to burn turf.
ESTADIO MESTALLA — the Spanish stadium horse — all flair, all fire.YORKSHIRE — resumes looking for win number four, classy unit. COAL CRUSHER — Joe Pride’s boy — this is the D-Day target, and he’s cherry ripe.
💰 Fat Jockey EW: Sit back and enjoy — it’s a banger. Grab your drink, watch the fireworks.
🏇 RACE 9 MAISON LOUIS — Derby winner, classy, but fresh legs might be better.FIRM AGREEMENT — Derby-placed, genuine threat.HUETOR — the French bulldozer, warming up for a late summer rampage.
💰 Fat Jockey EW: No thanks — let the big boys sort this one out.
🏇 RACE 10 BRAVE ONE — perfect draw, nice trial, loves a strong finish — tick tick tick. MIDNIGHT OPAL — always thereabouts, could spoil the party. XIDAKI — sharp trial, danger.MAYFAIR — forgive last start, talent there.
💰 Fat Jockey EW: Brave One — the name says it all. Have a go, ya coward.
CAULFIELD
Race 1 Looks a straight-up two-horse war here. TARPAULIN was backed like Black Caviar at Kyneton and only just missed – if that’s the dress rehearsal, expect the encore to deliver. Metro Saturday? Tick. Winning chance? Double tick. JUST LIKE GABY – nice racing style, felt the pinch late last time but this field’s thinner than the froth on a $2 beer. Should be right there in the finish.
💸 Fat Jockey Quinella: TARPAULIN / JUST LIKE GABY
Race 4 BEAST MODE – the name says it all. Charging through wins like a bloke who’s just found his TAB card after Cup Day. Going for three straight and looks primed to keep the streak alive. HEDGED – solid when fresh, fair effort at Flemington. Could bounce back with a bit of luck. BUENOS NOCHES – last seen finishing somewhere near the tram stop at Flemington, but the talent’s there. Sneaky roughie if he wakes up on the right side of the stable.
💰 Fat Jockey EW Value: BUENOS NOCHES
Race 7 KALEO – finally gets to the mile, and if his Cup Day run was a teaser, the sequel might be a blockbuster. Big finish, big engine, and big chance. BURMA STAR – Cup Day winner who gave them a start and still won easily. Has class but the mile is a question mark – might find the last 100m a bit like running through wet sand. SHEZA ALIBI – perfect draw, perfect setup, and could very well spoil the party. She’s the type who keeps fighting when others are waving the white flag.
Fat Jockey Play Around: 3, 6, 9 — box ‘em, back ‘em, believe in ‘em.
Race 8 JIMMYSSTAR – genuine Group 1 beast with two majors on the board. Loves the track, oozes class. Short but deservedly so. EVAPORATE – honest as they come, always gives a sight, and the sort who sneaks into your exotics when you least expect it. ANGEL CAPITAL – The Everest wasn’t a picnic but this could be. Waller’s thrown the kitchen sink at this, maybe even the toaster. Watch for a big betting push – if he’s firming, follow the money.
👀 Fat Jockey Advice: Sit back, crack a tin, and enjoy the show.
Race 9 CANTIAMO – second-up specialist, goes like a scalded cat when fresh and only gets better. Not hopeless by any stretch – keep safe for a get-out-stakes miracle.
